Topic: Inflation

It seems to be regarded as a given in the media and perhaps more generally that the way to tackle inflation is to put up interest rates.

But why are the two supposedly linked?

I may be missing something that is widely known by others.

But can anyone explain please?

William

Re: Inflation

Putting up interest rates increases the cost of borrowing, which encourages people to be more careful about what they spend. The consequent decrease in demand for goods and services results in reduced prices, or at least a reduction in any price increases.

"Has it ever struck you that life is all memory, except for the one present moment that goes by you so quick you hardly catch it going?"
― Tennessee Williams

Re: Inflation

Alfred wrote:

Putting up interest rates increases the cost of borrowing, which encourages people to be more careful about what they spend. The consequent decrease in demand for goods and services results in reduced prices, or at least a reduction in any price increases.

I understand that reasoning under "normal" circumstances, but in today's climate a lot of people cannot afford to spend in any circumstances because prices are far too high anyway. In short, people cannot overspend because they do not have the money to do so, putting up interest rates appears irrelevant.

Because the media are bombarding us with pictures of people who were "just coping" before this crises hit and are now relying on food banks etc, we are all starting to think that the vast majority of people are living like this, this may well not the case, and putting up interest rates may have some success.

What percentage of people are now living hand to mouth I wonder. Is it as many as we think?

4

Re: Inflation

in today's climate a lot of people cannot afford to spend in any circumstances because prices are far too high anyway. In short, people cannot overspend because they do not have the money to do so

Many of the current financial problems of such people would be eased if this were indeed the case. Unfortunately they are bombarded with offers of credit, in the form of cards, bank loans, hire/purchase etc, that encourages them to continue spending money they do not have on things they do not need. H/p used to be called rather more appropriately, the "never-never"!

Re: Inflation

...they are bombarded with offers of credit, in the form of cards, bank loans, hire/purchase etc, that encourages them to continue spending money they do not have on things they do not need

This quote ends on an interesting comment, "on things they do not need". What things would they be? Are there different things for different generations? Are the following needed or not?

At least one overseas holiday (vacation) per year.
Upgrade to the latest 85" television.
Televisions for other rooms.
Phone contracts with unlimited data for the whole family.
Multiple TV streaming service subscriptions.
Audio streaming service subscriptions.
New pc, laptop or tablet.
New/new to you car.
A second car.
Same spend on Christmas presents as last year.
Lottery tickets and scratchcards.
Gambling.

I used to be indecisive, now I'm not so sure.

Re: Inflation

A 'new to you' car can be essential if one lives in a rural area and has a job that is other than very local or reachable and returnable from by public transport.

For me, retired, no longer driving, a computer is essential. I need it in order to arrange grocery deliveries from Tesco. The ability to then be able to do things like access this website, watch YouTube videos and use Duolingo.com to learn Welsh and to improve my knowledge of Esperanto and try a bit of Dutch and a few others, are basically then "free except for the cost of the electricity" bonuses.

If someone has a child or children, then it is reaonable for every effort to be made to give them the experience and memories of a happy Christmas.

Balance that though with that recently one newspaper had a feature of how a woman had managed to save £900 a year. Ooh, big story. Actually, she had cancelled subscriptions to various movie streaming services and so on, things that many of us had not spent money on in the first place.

I notice that Joe's list does not include anything about alcohol, tobacco or expensive types of food.

Are any of those needed?

I get adverts about how bottles of wine are ONLY (my emphasis) some amount of money.

I wonder if the various campaigns that happen in January, namely giving up alcohol, giving up smoking, go vegan, will have more people joining in when money is tighter.

William

Re: Inflation

Also, I wonder if people will stop, or reduce, the sending of Christmas cards this year.

William

Re: Inflation

William rote:

"retired, no longer driving, a computer is essential. I need it in order to arrange grocery deliveries from Tesco."

I wish my late father in law was as thoughtful as you William. For a long time I was trying to persuade him to get a computer in order that his daughter, who lived nearby, didn't have to do his shopping for him. Being a very old fashioned type of person, he didn't even consider the possibility. I thought I was stuck in my ways, but there you are, it takes all sorts to make a world.

Joe wrote:

At least one overseas holiday (vacation) per year.
Upgrade to the latest 85" television.
Televisions for other rooms.
Phone contracts with unlimited data for the whole family.
Multiple TV streaming service subscriptions.
Audio streaming service subscriptions.
New pc, laptop or tablet.
New/new to you car.
A second car.
Same spend on Christmas presents as last year.
Lottery tickets and scratchcards.
Gambling.


An interesting list Joe, quite thought provoking.

The last overseas holiday we took was back in 2017, mainly due to the pandemic rather than financial hardship.
We just have the one TV in our living room, although this computer can double up as a TV when required.
Don't understand about phone contracts or data, all a bit beyond me, I told you I was a stick in the mud.
Multiple streaming stuff, again don't quite comprehend, and having a million channels with Virgin media, we don't see the need for them.
We only buy laptops, computers and cars, when the old ones breakdown and are irreparable.

You may turn your nose up at lottery tickets and scratch cards, but at least the proceeds do go to charity and good causes in general, so cannot be too sniffy about them.

Re: Inflation

I have been interested in computers since my early teens, some years before i actually got to use one.

I don't remember quite how I first became interested.

I do remember that it was in the early 1960s reading Arthur C. Clarke's Profiles of the Future bought as a paperback after seeing it I think on a bookstall at New Street Station in Birmingham that inspired me that I wanted to be an inventor.

That sort of attitude has shaped my life greatly. I tend to consider ideas even if they at first glance seem ridiculous and I have sometimes found that by looking at them and adding something that something that will work can be found. It is that willingness to suspend disbelief for a while and think and not be dismissive with an annoyed wave of the hand that has helped me enormously. A willingness to be deemed as lacking confidence because I exercise caution before expresing an opinion rather than showing smiling confidence.

Years later, Arthur C. Clarke wrote, I think it might have been in The View from Serendip that in Profiles of the Future (which I think had been in hardback a few years before I saw the paperback version) he had speculated that the first man to walk on the moon might already be alive somewhere as a small boy, and in fact he was already a thirty year old man.

I remember that there was a road between two of the railway platforms at New Street Station and at the time it seemed quite odd to have a road down the middle of a railway station.

Years later, I learned that it had originally been two stations on the same site, for two different railway companies, that had later both become part of the London Midland and Scottish Railway in the railway grouing of 1923.

It is interesting that companies such as LMS and LNER (London and North Eastern Railway) each formed in 1923 only lasted for 25 years until nationalization into British Railways in 1948, yet those 25 years saw the development and use of most of the United Kingdom steam locomotives that are modelled by model railway companies today.

Another book that inspired me at that time was a Pelican paperback book Five Hundred Years of Printing by S. H. Steinberg, and I have been interested in Incunabula ever since.

And in a very large bookshop in Birmingham at that sort of time they had a very comprehensive display of the Teach Yourself series books. Most bookshops had a selection, often the more common ones, like Teach Yourself French and so on. So when I saw Teach Yourself Old English I bought it on the basis that there it was, I might never see that on offer ever again, buy it while I have the opportunity to do so.

Some years later, I was in a bookshop and I wanted to ask a member of staff something and I approached a man who was putting Teach Yourself books in a vertical rotating stand.

He politely explained that he did not work there, he was a representative of Teach Yourself books. We had a discuusion about them. He said that most of them were written as a labour of love by the author of the book. He said that most of the sales were of people who became interested in something, bought a book about it, but never read past the first chapter.

William

10

Re: Inflation

Are the following needed or not?

Joe, nothing in your list is needed, except perhaps in very exceptional circumstances.

Re: Inflation

I suppose that it depends what one classes as very exceptional circumstances.

Without a computer I would have a big problem obtaining a food supply.

William

12

Re: Inflation

Don't you have a telephone?

Re: Inflation

The internet, accessed by the computer William needs, can present a virtual shop, where one can browse and make choices. The telephone does not conveniently do that; no need to list why.

14

Re: Inflation

People placed grocery orders by phone long before computers were available.

We are discussing needs of people with very limited income. I do not know whether this includes William, or anyone else here, but somehow doubt it.

15 (edited by William 2022-11-19 18:55:39)

Re: Inflation

GB wrote:

People placed grocery orders by phone long before computers were available.

I have never known of that being available. Please say where that happened.

GB wrote:

We are discussing needs of people with very limited income. I do not know whether this includes William, or anyone else here, but somehow doubt it.

We are discussing inflation, we are discussing what items are needs as contrasted with what are not needs but perhaps desired.

There is, as far as I aware, no restriction about the discussion only being related to people with very limited income.

But in relation to Joe's list there is nothing on there apart from a computer that I would buy even if my income were much larger than it is.

I tend to buy relatively low-priced things that have some sort of special interest for me, such as what is notionally a custom photo greetings card that is in fact a print of my artwork that I produced on my computer, then I framed it in an oak effect frame delivered with the grocery. Total cost under £10. That, as it is a print of my own art, is of more interest to me than buying an expensive framed print by someone else. During the last two years I have bought several such custom greetings cards and frames. But it is a very low cost compared to the electricity bill, but i do like a warm house. Though I suppose those framed cards could be said to not be needs.

I suppose Joe's list could be extended by adding framed artist's prints and framed original paintings and things like ornate glass vases and so on. Yet not only expensive items like those.

William

16

Re: Inflation

Please say where that happened

West Croydon, and maybe a few other places. When I was still at school I had a Saturday job at a greengrocer's delivering orders by tradesman's bike https://onlinebicyclemuseum.co.uk/wp-co … DESMAN.jpg or costermonger's wheel barrow http://theragandboneman.blogspot.com/20 … arrow.html

A few customers, including a small childrens'-home phoned in their orders, although of course most customers did not have telephones then.

There is, as far as I aware, no restriction about the discussion only being related to people with very limited income.

Of course not, but this sub-topic followed my comments about people spending money they do not have, so do have limited incomes.

Re: Inflation

I cannot see the likes of Tescos taking orders by telephone, I maybe wrong, but it just does not seem that would be the case. My mother back in the 1960s used to phone her groceries through to a local trader for delivery every Friday.

Re: Inflation

Thank you, GB, for explaining.

William

Re: Inflation

People placed grocery orders by phone long before computers were available.

In those days, choice was very limited, for example, only two or three brands of jams, and a few different fruits, say. As I remember.

Most grocery stores would have a counter assistant who would be asked for, let's say, a jar of jam. Without going to the shelf and taking one of each sort to show the customer, the choice would be limited to what the customer knew of the stock, and what the assistant could explain.

Or one went to the butchers, and asked for a particular cut.  If you phoned, you would get what the butcher provided, and the nature of the cut could, I say, could, depend on the relationship of the customer with the butcher. Nowadays, my wife will carefully examine several pieces of meat before choosing one. More choice there.

Re: Inflation

I remember at one stage the co-op used to have a system where someone could fill in the next page or pages of an order book that the co-op supplied, post itto the shop, and on some particular day the grocery would be delivered in a large cardboard box. Basically a box that had arrived at the shop containing lows of packs of something like Bird's custard powder in it, or something like that.

I remember the book had printed on it a statement that if a brand was not stated then CWS brand would be supplied.

CWS was the Cooperative Wholesale Society. In effect, like a supermarket own label brand, but the various coop societies across the country did not each have their own own label products

Then there seems to have been an era from around 1960 to 2000 when there no deliveries from anybody.

I remember that as late as the 1970s in the then smaller supermarkets in Evesham the practice that in the walkway after the checkout stations that led to the exit there were piles of boxes, mostly cardboard. I always chose one that had had something reasonable in it, as there were some boxes that had contained cigarettes put out.

There were also large wooden boxes in which oranges had arrived at the store. Some were a bit useless as thin wooden slats with lots of air gaps, but some had solid sides with quite thick pieces of wooden plank.

William

Re: Inflation

If one person buys the supermarket's own label version of something rather than the branded version to save money, there we go.

But if two million people buy the supermarket's own label version of something rather than the branded version to save money, does that result in some of the people at the factory that makes the branded version losing their job?

Why are own label versions cheaper?

William

22

Re: Inflation

William wrote:

If one person buys the supermarket's own label version of something rather than the branded version to save money, there we go.

But if two million people buy the supermarket's own label version of something rather than the branded version to save money, does that result in some of the people at the factory that makes the branded version losing their job?

Why are own label versions cheaper?

William

Normally the supermarkets make as much if not more profit on own brand/label items.

In some instances the company that makes the branded version also supplies the supermarkets with their own label products.

Joe

I used to be indecisive, now I'm not so sure.

23

Re: Inflation

Why are own label versions cheaper?

No advertising costs.

As Joe points out, the manufacturer is likely to be the same for both products.

Re: Inflation

GB wrote:

As Joe points out, the manufacturer is likely to be the same for both products.

Some years ago, Kelloggs advertised that “we don’t make breakfast cereals for anyone else”.

"Has it ever struck you that life is all memory, except for the one present moment that goes by you so quick you hardly catch it going?"
― Tennessee Williams